Nashville SC

MLS Power Ratings: Matchdate Seven, 2023

Jesús Murillo, you should not complain when you are atop the ratings smh. Mike Meredith/Club and Country

Matchdate seven on the books, week two of the power ratings! Late this week, see some notes from Matchdate Six ratings to explain what goes into the numbers.

  • Yes, I’m aware that the ratings don’t match what the MLS Standings say. If you’re curious about those, visit major league soccer soccer dot com.
  • Game data comes from American Soccer Analysis‘s outstanding web app. You can see the full table here.
MD7TeamPOWER XGPOWER GHFA xGOffense xGDefense xG“Luck”
↔︎1Los Angeles Football Club1.060.800.320.54-0.52-0.26
↑32Seattle Sounders0.760.76-0.440.43-0.330.00
03San Jose Earthquakes0.69-
↑64Atlanta United FC0.660.580.590.38-0.28-0.08
↑25Los Angeles Galaxy0.47-0.370.970.660.20-0.84
↑176Houston Dynamo0.460.081.030.720.27-0.38
↓37Chicago Fire0.450.14-0.810.09-0.36-0.31
↓28FC Dallas0.430.39-1.920.15-0.27-0.04
↑59Vancouver Whitecaps FC0.36-0.13-0.460.07-0.29-0.50
↑910Columbus Crew0.290.830.390.09-0.200.54
↑611St. Louis City SC0.290.84-0.130.480.190.55
↑312Fußball Club Cincinnati0.220.29-0.850.410.190.06
↓513Philadelphia Union0.18-0.101.22-0.14-0.32-0.28
↓314Toronto FC0.160.15-1.06-0.03-0.19-0.01
↓615Colorado Rapids0.11-0.380.65-0.02-0.13-0.49
↓316Sporting Kansas City0.09-0.700.22-0.33-0.42-0.79
↓1517New York City FC0.060.15-0.20-0.17-0.240.09
018New York Red Bulls0.01-0.690.08-0.31-0.32-0.70
↓319Nashville SC0.000.50-0.45-0.39-0.390.50
↑220Minnesota United FC-0.41-0.07-2.61-
↑321Orlando City SC-0.42-0.290.52-
↑722Austin FC-0.46-0.62-0.99-0.320.14-0.16
↓223DC United-0.50-0.31-1.05-0.190.320.20
↓424Real Salt Lake-0.50-
↓1325Montreal Impact-0.51-0.762.600.040.55-0.25
026New England Revolution-0.620.210.27-0.190.430.83
027Charlotte FC-0.69-0.780.70-0.360.33-0.09
↓328Portland Timbers FC-0.740.08-0.81-0.600.140.82
↓129Inter Miami CF-1.15-0.45-0.49-0.580.570.70

With the pretty colors but if you don’t want to click through to the data table:

Some observations:

  • LAFC has been the best team by a wide margin, Miami the worst by a wide margin. Montreal and Charlotte may well race to the bottom, based on how they’ve looked. If I’m a Seattle fan, I’m not worried about my distance from LAFC at this stage.
  • Your luck leaderboard includes a couple teams that have produced little xG but found good results… plus Miami which has produced little and achieved little. Just behind them, St. Louis is decent but the results are a major overachievement (and keeping in mind how like two or three of their xG on the year have come about… lucky in terms of producing that xG, as well).
  • From a local perspective, Nashville SC fans can be proud of an elite defense (particularly because they’re overachieving already-elite numbers), but the attack remains a little on the scary side. The silver lining is that the three wins have come by an aggregate of 6-0… on 2.90-3.00 xG. Game state effects make the expected goals in those games misleading. The problem is that they’re scoreless on 3.00 xG in the other four games this year.

OK thanks. Talk to ya later!

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