Jesús Murillo, you should not complain when you are atop the ratings smh. Mike Meredith/Club and Country
Matchdate seven on the books, week two of the power ratings! Late this week, see some notes from Matchdate Six ratings to explain what goes into the numbers.
- Yes, I’m aware that the ratings don’t match what the MLS Standings say. If you’re curious about those, visit major league soccer soccer dot com.
- Game data comes from American Soccer Analysis‘s outstanding web app. You can see the full table here.
| ∆ | MD7 | Team | POWER XG | POWER G | HFA xG | Offense xG | Defense xG | “Luck” |
| ↔︎ | 1 | Los Angeles Football Club | 1.06 | 0.80 | 0.32 | 0.54 | -0.52 | -0.26 |
| ↑3 | 2 | Seattle Sounders | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.44 | 0.43 | -0.33 | 0.00 |
| 0 | 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 0.69 | -0.01 | 1.12 | 0.73 | 0.04 | -0.69 |
| ↑6 | 4 | Atlanta United FC | 0.66 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.38 | -0.28 | -0.08 |
| ↑2 | 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0.47 | -0.37 | 0.97 | 0.66 | 0.20 | -0.84 |
| ↑17 | 6 | Houston Dynamo | 0.46 | 0.08 | 1.03 | 0.72 | 0.27 | -0.38 |
| ↓3 | 7 | Chicago Fire | 0.45 | 0.14 | -0.81 | 0.09 | -0.36 | -0.31 |
| ↓2 | 8 | FC Dallas | 0.43 | 0.39 | -1.92 | 0.15 | -0.27 | -0.04 |
| ↑5 | 9 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 0.36 | -0.13 | -0.46 | 0.07 | -0.29 | -0.50 |
| ↑9 | 10 | Columbus Crew | 0.29 | 0.83 | 0.39 | 0.09 | -0.20 | 0.54 |
| ↑6 | 11 | St. Louis City SC | 0.29 | 0.84 | -0.13 | 0.48 | 0.19 | 0.55 |
| ↑3 | 12 | Fußball Club Cincinnati | 0.22 | 0.29 | -0.85 | 0.41 | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| ↓5 | 13 | Philadelphia Union | 0.18 | -0.10 | 1.22 | -0.14 | -0.32 | -0.28 |
| ↓3 | 14 | Toronto FC | 0.16 | 0.15 | -1.06 | -0.03 | -0.19 | -0.01 |
| ↓6 | 15 | Colorado Rapids | 0.11 | -0.38 | 0.65 | -0.02 | -0.13 | -0.49 |
| ↓3 | 16 | Sporting Kansas City | 0.09 | -0.70 | 0.22 | -0.33 | -0.42 | -0.79 |
| ↓15 | 17 | New York City FC | 0.06 | 0.15 | -0.20 | -0.17 | -0.24 | 0.09 |
| 0 | 18 | New York Red Bulls | 0.01 | -0.69 | 0.08 | -0.31 | -0.32 | -0.70 |
| ↓3 | 19 | Nashville SC | 0.00 | 0.50 | -0.45 | -0.39 | -0.39 | 0.50 |
| ↑2 | 20 | Minnesota United FC | -0.41 | -0.07 | -2.61 | -0.16 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| ↑3 | 21 | Orlando City SC | -0.42 | -0.29 | 0.52 | -0.26 | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| ↑7 | 22 | Austin FC | -0.46 | -0.62 | -0.99 | -0.32 | 0.14 | -0.16 |
| ↓2 | 23 | DC United | -0.50 | -0.31 | -1.05 | -0.19 | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| ↓4 | 24 | Real Salt Lake | -0.50 | -0.22 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.28 |
| ↓13 | 25 | Montreal Impact | -0.51 | -0.76 | 2.60 | 0.04 | 0.55 | -0.25 |
| 0 | 26 | New England Revolution | -0.62 | 0.21 | 0.27 | -0.19 | 0.43 | 0.83 |
| 0 | 27 | Charlotte FC | -0.69 | -0.78 | 0.70 | -0.36 | 0.33 | -0.09 |
| ↓3 | 28 | Portland Timbers FC | -0.74 | 0.08 | -0.81 | -0.60 | 0.14 | 0.82 |
| ↓1 | 29 | Inter Miami CF | -1.15 | -0.45 | -0.49 | -0.58 | 0.57 | 0.70 |
With the pretty colors but if you don’t want to click through to the data table:
Some observations:
- LAFC has been the best team by a wide margin, Miami the worst by a wide margin. Montreal and Charlotte may well race to the bottom, based on how they’ve looked. If I’m a Seattle fan, I’m not worried about my distance from LAFC at this stage.
- Your luck leaderboard includes a couple teams that have produced little xG but found good results… plus Miami which has produced little and achieved little. Just behind them, St. Louis is decent but the results are a major overachievement (and keeping in mind how like two or three of their xG on the year have come about… lucky in terms of producing that xG, as well).
- From a local perspective, Nashville SC fans can be proud of an elite defense (particularly because they’re overachieving already-elite numbers), but the attack remains a little on the scary side. The silver lining is that the three wins have come by an aggregate of 6-0… on 2.90-3.00 xG. Game state effects make the expected goals in those games misleading. The problem is that they’re scoreless on 3.00 xG in the other four games this year.
OK thanks. Talk to ya later!
Club and Country 